The increase in waste paper broke through 200 yuan / ton. Is it another big hole?

Source: Paper Cube

After the fall of the national waste price in the second half of the year, from optimism to tension to overwhelming, I believe this is the mental journey that most of the bosses have experienced. In recent days, the waste market has once again ushered in a large price increase. But now, no one is optimistic that paper prices can resume the first half of the rise, but to say that they continue to fall, I believe many bosses also hold a negative attitude. The ups and downs of paper prices affect everyone's heart, making the industry colleagues miserable, 2018 is coming to an end, what will happen next year? Is the waste paper industry going to be the winter?

Zhigu can learn from today, with these questions, let us review the price of waste paper in previous years:

It can be seen from the above chart that since 2017, the purchase price of waste paper has been continuously rising. During the period, there have been mixed fluctuations and painful “paper waste”, so that some people earned “pots full of pots” and some people “have returned all night”. Before liberation"...

One of the reasons for the rise in waste paper prices is mainly the contraction of the supply side, which is affected by the exchange rate. Since the first quarter of 2017, the US index has continued to decline, and the relative depreciation of the United States has correspondingly led to an increase in the price of imported waste paper, which is denominated in the United States.

In addition to the impact of the exchange rate, there are also reasons why China currently plans to ban the import of unclassified waste paper and strengthen the supply of environmentally controlled products, which has caused most paper companies to transfer costs through price increases.

Other reasons include: the domestic environmental protection policy has become stricter, and the series of “foreign orders” issued in 2017 have been upgraded from import restrictions to import bans. As of the policy, on January 1, 2018, the environmental tax was imposed. As far as implementation is concerned, environmental protection supervision has been upgraded, and joint law enforcement agencies have been established.

In the early days, the price increase caused by market supply and demand in the face of the impact of the import of foreign garbage policy and the introduction of environmental protection policies, on the whole is a continuous rise, from a certain perspective, this price increase is with "panic" "There are also some "interferences" of human factors.

This kind of increase brings about the fall in the price of waste paper in 2017 after the 11th, which means that the idealism that continues to rise does not exist. The ups and downs are not only the objective factors of the above uncertainty. Mainly due to market supply and demand.

When the country is abolished, it is only returning to its original price. In recent days, the East China market has ushered in a large area of ​​paper mills to increase prices, which also indicates that the country's scrap prices have bottomed out.

The increasingly strict environmental protection policy, the continuous reduction of foreign waste imports, the market price is constantly transparent... It is foreseeable that in 2019, the national waste market will enter a stable and good trend, reminding you to set up “Take Profit” in time. “Stop Loss”, do a good job analysis of the market and respond to market changes in advance.

Responsible editor: Ge

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